PSG vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
2º
1º
1
8º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
82.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
16% | 0.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 76% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 8% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
1 - 4
PSG
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RBL
1 - 1
PSG
58%
22%
21%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
PSG
13%
18%
69%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 2
PSG
24%
21%
55%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 2
PSG
10%
16%
73%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 1
STR
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
M05
3 - 1
MPL
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 1
FCM
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
MPL
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 2
ASS
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |