PSG vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
LMU
1 - 0
PSG
34%
29%
38%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
PSG
2 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
PSG
43%
26%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2010 |
GRE
4 - 0
PSG
27%
29%
45%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PSG
1 - 1
REN
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
MPL
2 - 1
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
SOC
0 - 1
MPL
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MPL
0 - 1
LYO
18%
24%
58%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 0
MPL
46%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MPL
1 - 1
TFC
39%
28%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |