PSG vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1979 |
STL
2 - 3
PSG
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
PSG
2 - 1
LYO
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1979 |
NAN
1 - 0
PSG
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
ASN
2 - 1
PSG
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
PSG
4 - 3
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1979 |
MON
0 - 1
LYO
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
GIR
0 - 2
MON
42%
26%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1979 |
MON
1 - 3
ASN
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1979 |
ANG
2 - 2
MON
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
MON
2 - 2
VAL
77%
15%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |