PSG vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
MON
1 - 1
PSG
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
PSG
1 - 1
STR
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
SPO
1 - 1
PSG
30%
23%
47%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
PSG
2 - 1
NAN
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1985 |
REN
2 - 3
PSG
32%
23%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
MET
3 - 1
ASN
58%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 1
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
NIC
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1985 |
AUX
2 - 1
MET
52%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |