PSG vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2008 |
MAC
0 - 0
PSG
54%
26%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
REN
1 - 0
PSG
50%
26%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
PSG
2 - 2
RAC
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
PSG
1 - 0
LYO
30%
27%
44%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LHA
1 - 3
PSG
34%
29%
37%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
LMU
2 - 0
CAE
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MON
3 - 0
LMU
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LMU
1 - 0
VAL
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SOC
2 - 1
LMU
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
LYO
2 - 0
LMU
71%
18%
12%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |