PSG vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
PSG
2 - 2
FCB
11%
19%
71%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 2
PSG
23%
26%
52%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
PSG
3 - 0
REN
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 4
PSG
27%
27%
47%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
PSG
2 - 0
ASS
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 2
PSG
23%
26%
52%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
LOR
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 0
DIJ
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CAE
1 - 0
LOR
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAR
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |