PSG vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PSG
3 - 0
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
RBN
1 - 0
PSG
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 1
AND
51%
25%
24%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 1
PSG
63%
20%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
ASS
1 - 1
PSG
31%
27%
42%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 2
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NIC
2 - 0
LOR
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
LOR
2 - 2
MAR
22%
25%
52%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
MPL
3 - 1
LOR
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
TFC
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |