PSG vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1984 |
TFC
0 - 1
PSG
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1984 |
PSG
2 - 0
STR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1984 |
PSG
2 - 1
MON
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1984 |
STL
0 - 0
PSG
38%
28%
34%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1984 |
FHV
1 - 0
PSG
12%
29%
59%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1984 |
LIL
1 - 1
NAN
31%
28%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1984 |
SPO
2 - 1
LIL
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1984 |
MAR
2 - 0
LIL
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1984 |
LIL
4 - 0
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1984 |
TFC
1 - 0
LIL
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |