PSG vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1977 |
MET
3 - 1
PSG
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1977 |
PSG
1 - 0
SOC
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
TRO
2 - 1
PSG
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
PSG
1 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
GIR
5 - 2
PSG
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1977 |
LIL
2 - 2
REN
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1977 |
ANG
3 - 0
LIL
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1977 |
BAS
1 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
LIL
1 - 1
SOC
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
TRO
1 - 0
LIL
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |