PSG vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
ASN
2 - 3
PSG
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
PSG
0 - 0
GIR
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1971 |
ANG
2 - 0
PSG
48%
21%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
LIL
3 - 1
AJA
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1971 |
MET
4 - 0
LIL
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 1971 |
LIL
2 - 3
SOC
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1968 |
LYO
1 - 1
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1968 |
ASA
2 - 1
LIL
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |