PSG vs Evian Thonon Gaillard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 1
PSG
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
4 - 2
PSG
15%
21%
64%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2015 |
MPL
0 - 3
PSG
16%
21%
63%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2014 |
PSG
1 - 0
INT
62%
22%
16%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
PSG
0 - 0
MPL
73%
17%
10%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
ETG
1 - 1
REN
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
ETG
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
BOB
0 - 3
ETG
8%
15%
77%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ASS
3 - 0
ETG
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
REI
3 - 2
ETG
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |