Europa League 1/32
Global 2-0
PSG vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
PSG
0 - 0
ASN
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
PSG
3 - 1
LOR
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MON
1 - 2
PSG
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
DER
0 - 0
PSG
32%
30%
38%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
PSG
1 - 3
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2006 |
SHE
2 - 2
DER
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
DER
0 - 0
SHE
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
DER
0 - 0
PSG
32%
30%
38%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
LIM
0 - 3
DER
20%
26%
54%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
DER
0 - 0
UCD
66%
23%
11%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |