PSG vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1999 |
AUX
1 - 0
PSG
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MET
1 - 3
PSG
43%
27%
31%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
PSG
1 - 0
REN
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
MPL
0 - 1
PSG
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1999 |
PSG
2 - 0
BAS
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1999 |
LUS
2 - 0
STL
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
LMU
2 - 0
LUS
56%
24%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
LUS
1 - 3
GUI
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
LOR
1 - 1
LUS
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1999 |
LUS
2 - 0
AMI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |