Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
PSG vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 1
PSG
14%
22%
64%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 1
PSG
15%
21%
64%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 0
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
PSG
2 - 1
LEV
54%
23%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 3
PSG
12%
20%
69%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CRY
1 - 0
CHL
7%
18%
75%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CHL
6 - 0
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
CHL
2 - 0
GAL
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
14%
21%
65%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CHL
4 - 0
TOT
61%
21%
18%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |