UEFA Intertoto Cup Final
Global 1-1
PSG vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
AUX
1 - 1
PSG
44%
26%
31%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
PSG
7 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
PSG
0 - 0
LIL
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
GEN
0 - 0
PSG
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
PSG
4 - 0
TAV
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 2
CHM
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
CHM
1 - 2
BRE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
TAT
1 - 1
BRE
30%
24%
46%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 1
TAT
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
BRE
3 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |