Champions League Last 16
Global 0-3
PSG vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
71.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MON
3 - 1
PSG
26%
22%
53%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
PSG
21%
20%
59%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PSG
2 - 1
TFC
76%
15%
9%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
MPL
1 - 3
PSG
9%
15%
77%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
PSG
1 - 1
REI
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BYM
3 - 0
RTV
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 4
BYM
5%
10%
85%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
M05
0 - 4
BYM
3%
8%
89%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BYM
1 - 1
EIN
80%
13%
7%
|
96 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
BYM
1 - 1
KOL
87%
9%
4%
|
96 | 82 | 14 | 0 |