Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
PSG vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
67.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
STR
1 - 4
PSG
8%
15%
77%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 3
PSG
73%
16%
12%
|
90 | 96 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
PSG
0 - 1
LIL
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LYO
2 - 4
PSG
23%
22%
55%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
PSG
3 - 0
LIL
72%
17%
12%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BYM
1 - 1
FCU
88%
9%
3%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 3
PSG
73%
16%
12%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
RBL
0 - 1
BYM
10%
15%
75%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
BYM
4 - 0
STU
88%
9%
3%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
BYM
2 - 1
LAZ
87%
9%
4%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |