Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
PSG vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 1
CLE
82%
12%
5%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PSG
1 - 0
REN
64%
19%
17%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
PSG
28%
23%
50%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MPL
2 - 6
PSG
15%
18%
67%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
PSG
3 - 1
NIC
75%
16%
9%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
UDL
84%
12%
4%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 3
FCB
34%
24%
42%
|
96 | 95 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
3 - 1
NAP
61%
21%
18%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
FCB
1 - 0
MLL
79%
14%
7%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 0
FCB
24%
23%
52%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |