Champions League Last 16
Global 5-2PSG vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 3
PSG
6%
14%
80%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 1
PSG
7%
14%
80%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
DIJ
0 - 4
PSG
6%
13%
82%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PSG
0 - 2
MON
77%
14%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 4
PSG
65%
18%
17%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
OSA
0 - 2
FCB
11%
18%
72%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCB
3 - 0
SEV
65%
19%
16%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SEV
0 - 2
FCB
31%
24%
45%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
FCB
3 - 0
ELC
89%
8%
3%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
FCB
1 - 1
CAD
90%
7%
2%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |