Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
PSG vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
66.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 4
PSG
11%
18%
71%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
PSG
4 - 1
ASS
67%
20%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
PSG
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PSG
3 - 1
LOR
72%
18%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
GIR
3 - 2
PSG
24%
25%
51%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 2
FCB
15%
20%
66%
|
98 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
FCB
4 - 0
ALM
93%
6%
2%
|
97 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
CEL
0 - 1
FCB
9%
17%
75%
|
97 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
FCB
2 - 1
RMA
62%
19%
20%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
FCB
1 - 0
MAC
83%
11%
6%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | -1 |