PSG vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
41%
27%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
PSG
2 - 0
MET
60%
22%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2002 |
MAR
1 - 0
PSG
39%
27%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
PSG
1 - 1
NAN
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
GUI
0 - 1
PSG
29%
27%
43%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2002 |
AUX
2 - 3
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
MON
1 - 1
AUX
58%
23%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
SED
3 - 3
AUX
42%
28%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
AUX
2 - 0
SOC
57%
23%
20%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
AUX
0 - 1
LYO
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |