PSG vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
PSG
1 - 3
GUI
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 0
PSG
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
PSG
1 - 0
LEN
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
THO
0 - 2
PSG
7%
17%
76%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
ASS
1 - 0
PSG
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
AUX
2 - 0
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 1
AUX
51%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2001 |
ASS
2 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
AUX
1 - 1
GUI
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
AUX
1 - 0
LIL
64%
22%
14%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |