PSG vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
SOC
0 - 1
PSG
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PSG
3 - 2
AUX
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
RBS
2 - 0
PSG
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
PSG
55%
23%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PSG
0 - 1
ASN
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
1 - 1
RAC
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
OVI
0 - 1
ATH
14%
23%
63%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MLL
1 - 1
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
ATH
2 - 1
SBR
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ATH
0 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
8%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | -1 |