PSG vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
MON
2 - 1
PSG
35%
25%
40%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
PSG
1 - 2
LYO
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1971 |
PSG
1 - 0
SOC
60%
19%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
MET
2 - 0
PSG
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1971 |
PSG
2 - 4
REI
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
AJA
4 - 2
NAN
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1971 |
MET
3 - 0
AJA
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 2
REI
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1971 |
AJA
2 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1971 |
SOC
3 - 1
AJA
58%
23%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |