Paris II vs Marck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BOU
3 - 1
PAR
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 1
AMI
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ASB
1 - 0
PAR
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 0
SEN
60%
20%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
USM
4 - 0
PAR
47%
22%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Marck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 3
AMI
27%
26%
48%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
ROY
0 - 1
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SEN
3 - 1
MAR
32%
23%
45%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
FEI
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAI
28%
25%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |