Paris II vs Caen PTT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
15.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
EVR
0 - 0
PAR
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
GON
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
UJA
0 - 0
PAR
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
DRO
4 - 1
PAR
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -3 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 1
AJA
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +3 |
Matches
Caen PTT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 1
SEN
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LEH
4 - 1
CAE
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
SAI
4 - 0
CAE
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 0
EVR
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GON
3 - 3
CAE
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |