Paris II vs Brétigny Foot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
12º
11º
35
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paris II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 1
PAR
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 2
LMR
73%
15%
12%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
PAR
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
LUL
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
41%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Brétigny Foot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 0
LMR
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
LUL
0 - 1
BRE
42%
24%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
1 - 0
PSG
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LMU
2 - 0
BRE
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -3 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
DRA
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |