Parets vs Tona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GIR
3 - 0
PAR
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
VIC
16%
22%
62%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
3 - 2
PAR
72%
17%
11%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UEL
3 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 4
PAL
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TON
1 - 2
MAN
23%
22%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TON
0 - 1
GIR
13%
19%
69%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VIC
1 - 2
TON
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
1 - 0
TON
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
TON
2 - 0
UEL
51%
23%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |