Parets vs Roses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CFM
2 - 0
PAR
18%
23%
59%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 1
BOS
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 2
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
CMB
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BSC
0 - 0
PAR
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RSS
4 - 1
MON
38%
22%
40%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAN
2 - 0
RSS
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RSS
0 - 0
CGI
45%
23%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BLA
2 - 4
RSS
53%
22%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RSS
2 - 2
38%
22%
40%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |