Parets vs Guineueta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
55.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
20%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
TON
2 - 0
PAR
30%
24%
46%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 3
GIR
18%
21%
61%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
VIC
4 - 0
PAR
54%
23%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 2
43%
23%
35%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
GUI
0 - 0
TON
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 0
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 1
VIC
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
2 - 1
GUI
34%
24%
41%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GUI
2 - 0
UEL
74%
15%
10%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |