USC Paredes vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 0
OSA
49%
25%
25%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 0
PAR
33%
28%
39%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSL
3 - 4
PAR
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
6 - 1
DUM
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
8%
19%
72%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 3
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ANA
1 - 2
VIL
19%
24%
57%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 0
VIL
38%
27%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |