USC Paredes vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
33.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
PAR
75%
18%
8%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 3
MAR
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
COI
2 - 0
PAR
32%
26%
42%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 1
GON
37%
26%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
TRO
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
PED
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
LEC
2 - 0
VIL
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAL
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | -1 |