USC Paredes vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
12º
7º
22
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
46%
29%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
FFC
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GON
1 - 1
PAR
43%
28%
29%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
BMA
27%
28%
46%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +3 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 4
PAR
55%
26%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 2
ADM
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ODO
2 - 1
VIL
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAL
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 0
VIL
20%
21%
60%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
VSC
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |