USC Paredes vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PED
2 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 2
PAR
69%
20%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
LEC
40%
25%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 2
PAR
14%
23%
63%
|
34 | 14 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 3
TRO
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
0 - 5
TIR
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -4 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
8 - 0
UNM
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
UNM
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -3 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
BRA
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |