USC Paredes vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PED
2 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
CES
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
COI
0 - 1
PAR
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 1
GAF
31%
25%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +3 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
LUS
21%
25%
54%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UNM
1 - 0
CIN
78%
15%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 0
UNM
26%
25%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
UNM
0 - 0
AMA
63%
22%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
UNM
29%
27%
44%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
UNM
16%
23%
62%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |