USC Paredes vs Operário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ANA
3 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
ESP
18%
24%
59%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
SCP
2 - 1
PAR
86%
11%
3%
|
35 | 85 | 50 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 1
LAG
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Operário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
OPE
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 0
COI
62%
20%
17%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
OPE
0 - 2
MOR
23%
25%
52%
|
40 | 62 | 22 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
OEI
6 - 1
OPE
30%
25%
46%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -3 |