USC Paredes vs Madalena FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ANG
4 - 1
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 2
OPE
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ANA
3 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
1 - 1
ESP
18%
24%
59%
|
34 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Madalena FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
COI
2 - 2
MAD
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
OPE
2 - 1
MAD
68%
18%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
ESP
16%
23%
61%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MAD
1 - 2
GON
17%
24%
59%
|
28 | 60 | 32 | 0 |