USC Paredes vs Florgrade FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BMA
1 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
PAR
24%
24%
53%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAR
3 - 0
VAL
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
1 - 0
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
REB
27%
29%
44%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Florgrade FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
ODO
27%
21%
52%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
3 - 1
BMA
10%
15%
75%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | +11 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 0
FFC
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 43 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 1
ACD
32%
22%
46%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 0
FFC
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |