USC Paredes vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
4º
11º
8º
25
6º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 1
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
0 - 1
PAR
61%
23%
17%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
1 - 1
VSC
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
CAN
43%
30%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
VIL
5 - 1
PAR
72%
18%
10%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 2
CAN
45%
25%
30%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
FAF
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 1
VAR
12%
23%
65%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
FAF
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FAF
37%
25%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |