USC Paredes vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 2
PAR
14%
23%
63%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 0
GON
35%
26%
39%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PED
1 - 0
PAR
53%
24%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FEL
2 - 1
PAR
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 2
ARO
11%
22%
67%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 0
VAL
77%
14%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 1
CAS
47%
23%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESP
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
COI
0 - 0
CAS
41%
22%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
VAL
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |