USC Paredes vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
PAR
20%
23%
58%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 0
COI
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GIN
0 - 3
PAR
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
LUS
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
ESP
0 - 0
PAR
79%
16%
5%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAS
2 - 1
SAN
19%
24%
58%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
PED
1 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
0 - 0
GON
19%
21%
60%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FEL
0 - 1
CAS
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUS
11%
21%
68%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +2 |