USC Paredes vs Brito SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
3º
2º
22
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
39 | 56 |
1º
|
84% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 49 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 45 |
3º
|
40.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 43 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 38 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 37 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 33 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 31 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 30 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
69.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
30.5% | 58% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 42% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PAR
0 - 0
OSL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
DUM
0 - 2
PAR
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ATA
0 - 3
PAR
34%
28%
39%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
TIR
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PEV
2 - 1
PAR
42%
27%
30%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brito SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BRI
2 - 0
VIL
36%
27%
37%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
OSL
2 - 1
BRI
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
JOA
2 - 2
BRI
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 1
DUM
50%
23%
28%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 2
BRA
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |