USC Paredes vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.3%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.6%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.7%
85.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
19%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
15.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
19%
0-4
9.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 0
COI
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
GON
0 - 0
PAR
60%
22%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
UNM
49%
24%
28%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PED
2 - 1
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
SMA
1 - 2
PAR
69%
20%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 3
SPB
60%
20%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
SLB
3 - 3
GLA
54%
22%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
BOA
3 - 0
SLB
9%
17%
74%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
SLB
3 - 0
SDL
75%
16%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
89%
7%
3%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |