USC Paredes vs Beira Mar SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
5º
12º
7º
34
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 4
PAR
55%
26%
20%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 3
AMA
20%
28%
52%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
REB
0 - 0
PAR
55%
26%
20%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 1
VSC
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ADM
1 - 0
PAR
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Beira Mar SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BMA
2 - 1
ADM
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ODO
1 - 3
BMA
28%
25%
47%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BMA
0 - 0
SAL
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 0
ACD
83%
12%
6%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 1
BMA
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -2 |