USC Paredes vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+112%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
CAS
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
PAR
20%
23%
58%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 0
COI
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
GIN
0 - 3
PAR
15%
21%
64%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 0
LUS
34%
25%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
LUS
2 - 1
AMA
69%
19%
11%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
AMA
1 - 1
GON
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
AMA
0 - 0
TRO
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
AMA
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
AMA
0 - 0
CAN
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |