USC Paredes vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+123%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALI
1 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
OLI
49%
23%
28%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 0
PAR
80%
14%
6%
|
27 | 64 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
PAR
0 - 2
BOA
19%
26%
55%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
AMA
23%
23%
54%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
AMA
3 - 1
BOA
25%
27%
48%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 1
MAD
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
AMA
2 - 0
OPE
49%
24%
27%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 0
AMA
76%
16%
8%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | -1 |