USC Paredes vs Aliados Lordelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
35.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
PAR
48%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 1
TON
17%
23%
59%
|
32 | 64 | 32 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BOA
3 - 2
PAR
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 0
SAO
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAD
1 - 0
PAR
36%
24%
40%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Aliados Lordelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 2
TON
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAO
3 - 2
ALI
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
2 - 1
ANG
54%
22%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 1
ALI
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 1
PAD
63%
20%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |