Pardubice vs Karviná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
2º
1º
32
3º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
40 | 12 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
41 | 11 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 5 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 4 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pardubice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
JAB
3 - 0
PAR
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 2
ESK
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 0
ZLI
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
BOH
2 - 1
PAR
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
MBO
26%
27%
48%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Karviná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 3
KAR
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 2
ZLI
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
JAB
3 - 2
KAR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ZLI
0 - 1
KAR
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 1
BOH
28%
26%
47%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |