Parceiro Nagano vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 2
PAR
49%
26%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
CER
50%
28%
23%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GOS
1 - 1
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
AZU
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
GIR
53%
27%
21%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2018 |
THE
1 - 1
SAG
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
GIR
0 - 1
THE
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
THE
2 - 1
FUJ
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
THE
0 - 2
KAG
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
GRU
1 - 1
THE
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |