Parceiro Nagano vs Niigata University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Parceiro Nagano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 2
PAR
45%
28%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 2
THE
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
KAG
2 - 2
PAR
49%
26%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 2
CER
50%
28%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GOS
1 - 1
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Niigata University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
CER
2 - 0
NUN
93%
6%
1%
|
10 | 82 | 72 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
GKU
1 - 3
NUN
30%
22%
48%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KAT
1 - 0
NUN
78%
16%
6%
|
9 | 54 | 45 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ALB
4 - 2
NUN
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 71 | 62 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
MHY
0 - 1
NUN
36%
24%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |